No 1 “Late money is live money”.
Built not only on the theory of “beating the closing line” but the logic that sharp syndicates will wait late so they can put on their maximum stake. Of course the reality is that almost every game will have late movement which has nothing to do with live bets but Bookmakers all over the World hedging their over commitment. They don't care which side is considered sharp, their priority is in getting a balanced book.
No 2 “Bet against the public”
Comical position where people look for comfort that they are smarter than the majority. This is because it's well known 98%of bettors lose money so if you can bet the opposite then you will be in the other 2% that wins. Theoretically this is true but where it falls down is we technically don't know who the Public are actually on, is it Public money or sharp, is it Public now and later sharp, sharp now Public later? Reality is nobody wants to be part of the betting (losing) Public, hence the absurd nonsense surrounding this quote.
No 3 “Bet home dogs, road dogs if any combination of anything you can think of”.
Home dogs are straight away getting 3 pts with home field advantage, have the home crowd behind them and the refs will lean to their side. Road dogs of any combination, under 3 pts, when the total is under 46, if they lost their last two, if they have scored 23 pts plus in their last two games. The list is endless, bottom line here is to have a good dice to roll using this betting technology.
No 4 “Fade anyone you want to”
Surely if they are winning then fade now or just fade whoever. A very common situation where bettors cannot accept that even with unknown numbers that it cannot go on. Basically this is buying into the dubious Publicly perceived Law of Averages as opposed to the real Law of large numbers.The latter allows many many games before any return to the mean.
All of these and many more mythical cons have been in time made up by Tipsters, smart talking pay to pundits and commentators that want you to think that winning at Sports betting is easy. Just pay them. It's not that easy and it never will be, you can hold onto the coattails of someone on here even like myself but you are never getting the same odds and when I hit a rough patch, you will be in a dilemma whether to carry on and suddenly you miss a winner and all is lost.
The best advice is do your own work based on anything you think is relevant, learn solid facts in statistical data, injuries and maybe home in on media that only concentrate on one team, the athletic and CBS are great. Use forums like this to keen your opinion on a game ( eg my opinion might be a good one that you like but that doesnt make it your play) Get in a habit of collating in the same way every week and dont get side swiped by an easy win post, Stick to these measures and you will improve your betting and I’ve not charged you nothing.
Built not only on the theory of “beating the closing line” but the logic that sharp syndicates will wait late so they can put on their maximum stake. Of course the reality is that almost every game will have late movement which has nothing to do with live bets but Bookmakers all over the World hedging their over commitment. They don't care which side is considered sharp, their priority is in getting a balanced book.
No 2 “Bet against the public”
Comical position where people look for comfort that they are smarter than the majority. This is because it's well known 98%of bettors lose money so if you can bet the opposite then you will be in the other 2% that wins. Theoretically this is true but where it falls down is we technically don't know who the Public are actually on, is it Public money or sharp, is it Public now and later sharp, sharp now Public later? Reality is nobody wants to be part of the betting (losing) Public, hence the absurd nonsense surrounding this quote.
No 3 “Bet home dogs, road dogs if any combination of anything you can think of”.
Home dogs are straight away getting 3 pts with home field advantage, have the home crowd behind them and the refs will lean to their side. Road dogs of any combination, under 3 pts, when the total is under 46, if they lost their last two, if they have scored 23 pts plus in their last two games. The list is endless, bottom line here is to have a good dice to roll using this betting technology.
No 4 “Fade anyone you want to”
Surely if they are winning then fade now or just fade whoever. A very common situation where bettors cannot accept that even with unknown numbers that it cannot go on. Basically this is buying into the dubious Publicly perceived Law of Averages as opposed to the real Law of large numbers.The latter allows many many games before any return to the mean.
All of these and many more mythical cons have been in time made up by Tipsters, smart talking pay to pundits and commentators that want you to think that winning at Sports betting is easy. Just pay them. It's not that easy and it never will be, you can hold onto the coattails of someone on here even like myself but you are never getting the same odds and when I hit a rough patch, you will be in a dilemma whether to carry on and suddenly you miss a winner and all is lost.
The best advice is do your own work based on anything you think is relevant, learn solid facts in statistical data, injuries and maybe home in on media that only concentrate on one team, the athletic and CBS are great. Use forums like this to keen your opinion on a game ( eg my opinion might be a good one that you like but that doesnt make it your play) Get in a habit of collating in the same way every week and dont get side swiped by an easy win post, Stick to these measures and you will improve your betting and I’ve not charged you nothing.
